Steering currents favor a slowdown in forward speed and a turn to the west-northwest for Jerry by Wednesday, which would likely take the core of the system a few hundred miles to the northeast of the Leeward Islands on Thursday night and Friday. However, it is too early to rule out a track through the islands, and Jerry will be capable of bringing heavy rains and gusty winds there even if the center of the system passes to the northeast. The Google DeepMind ensemble forecast — which has been an excellent performer this year — shows that a particularly close call for the northern Leeward Islands will occur on Thursday and Friday (Fig. 2).
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