The many possibilities for Melissa’s future over the next five days include multiple days of torrential rain over some of the Caribbean’s most flood-vulnerable places. Disastrous flooding and mudslides are a threat to Haiti as well as the southern Dominican Republic, eastern Cuba, and Jamaica. Because of high wind shear from the placement of the subtropical jet stream from Florida eastward through the Bahamas, Melissa is not expected to pose any threat to the continental United States for at least the next week, and ensemble models indicate only a remote chance that the storm could end up far enough northwest to affect Florida.
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